Vegas Over/Under: 35.5
Fromal’s Record Projection: 36-46 The Bet: Avoid lean over
To be quite frank, I’d recommend leaning no matter where the line is put for the Dallas Mavericks. And that is for one simple reason: Rick Carlisle.
The head coach is a genius at milking talent out of the players, routinely turning castoffs and undesirable bits into quality rotation members. He has done so year after year, and 2017-18 ought to be different.
Except it is different. Because while this group may be rebuilding during the last few seasons of Dirk Nowitzki’s livelihood (assuming the legendary 4 ever chooses to retire), it eventually has different talent at quite a few distinct positions.
Dennis Smith Jr., Seth Curry, Wesley Matthews, Harrison Barnes and Nowitzki makes for a strong beginning lineup, and the Mavs will mix and match to get Yogi Ferrell and Nerlens Noel around the Ground. That’s far more talent and upside than the group possessed during the 2016-17 campaign, and it went 33-49.
Full seasons from the bits that are frontcourt? Barnes using a year of experience in a role under his belt? Smith added to the rotation?
Vegas place the over/under aggressively with this roster, but motives to believe they are sold somewhat short still exist.
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